Latest Polls on Harris vs. Trump

With just three days until Election Day, presidential polls continue to point to a tight race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.

National polls provide insight into the nation’s voters, and some recent polls suggest Trump may have pulled ahead. Meanwhile, an exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk poll Friday showed Harris and Trump tied in Pennsylvania, the swing state with the most electoral votes. But the Electoral College system means the race will likely be decided by the seven battleground states.

Both Harris and Trump will appear Saturday at events in North Carolina, one of those swing states. Trump has scheduled appearances in Charlotte and Greensboro, as well as Salem, Virginia. Before the Charlotte event, Harris will appear at an afternoon rally in Atlanta, also a swing state.

Here are the latest polls showing where the race stands.

Latest Washington Post poll: Harris and Trump neck and neck in Pennsylvania

Harris leads Trump by one percentage point in a new Washington Post poll among likely voters and registered voters in Pennsylvania, another swing state. In the poll released Friday, Harris has 48% among both likely and registered voters and Trump has 47% (a statistical tie with a margin of error of ±3.1 percentage points).

The poll of 1,204 registered voters, conducted Oct. 26-30, also gave respondents the option of choosing a third-party candidate.

The new poll also found high voter enthusiasm among both parties in the state, which is critical to each candidate’s path to victory. Twenty percent of respondents said they had already voted, and another 73% said they were certain to vote, “which is 94 percent of voters after percentages are rounded,” the Post reported.

Harris leads Trump nationwide and in swing states, according to Forbes/HarrisX poll

Harris leads Trump 49% to 48% among likely voters nationwide and has a similarly narrow lead in seven battleground states, according to a HarrisX/Forbes poll released Thursday.

The poll of 4,523 registered voters and 3,718 likely voters (910 in battleground states) was conducted Oct. 27-29 (margin of error: ±1.5 percentage points).

Harris’ lead in battleground states had narrowed, according to a HarrisX/Forbes poll released a week earlier; at that point, Harris had a 50% to 46% lead. Some voters are still undecided, with 10% of likely voters and 16% of all registered voters still weighing their choice, the latest poll showed.

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Detroit Free Press Poll: Harris in Michigan

Harris leads Trump in Michigan in a new Detroit Free Press poll released Friday. The poll of 600 likely voters polled Oct. 24-28 showed Harris leading 48% to 45%, with a margin of error of ±4 points. The Detroit Free Press is part of the USA TODAY Network.

An interesting finding in the survey: The number of respondents who were undecided was less than 1%, which pollster Bernie Porn of EPIC-MRA, the Lansing, Michigan-based research firm that conducted the poll, said he’s not sure he saw. earlier. . “This is no ordinary election,” he said.

Trump leads in Florida, latest Stetson poll shows

Trump leads Harris in Florida in a new Stetson University poll released Friday. Poll of 452 likely voters conducted Oct. 25-Nov. 1 showed Trump leading 53% to 46% for Harris, with a margin of error of ±5%.

That’s a margin higher than the 51.2% of the state’s vote Trump received in the 2020 presidential election and the 49% of the vote in the 2016 election.

MassINC Poll: Harris succeeds in Massachusetts

In the blue state of Massachusetts, Harris appears to be receiving the same support that President Joe Biden and candidate Hillary Clinton received from voters in the 2020 and 2016 elections, according to the MassINC Polling Group’s final survey of Massachusetts voters released Friday.

Harris leads Trump 61% to 31% in the poll, according to the Oct. 29-Nov. 1 poll of 582 likely voters in Massachusetts (margin of error ±4.9 percentage points. In the 2020 election, President Joe Biden received 65.9% of the state’s vote, up from 32.1%. In the 2016 election, Clinton received 61% of the vote in Massachusetts ). Trump 33.3%.

Note about voting

Measurement error measures how accurately we can expect survey results to be representative of the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to the Pew Research Center.

Pew also found that most pollsters changed their methods after the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, which significantly underestimated Trump’s performance.

Contributing: Kinsey Crowley, Savannah Kuchar and Sam Woodward, USA TODAY; and Reuters.

Follow Mike Snyder on X and Threads: @mikesnider & Mikegsnyder.

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