Best Melbourne Cup predictor

After some minor misses in the first of three big spring events, Team Gemba have returned to their race prediction model and, thanks to Pointsbet, are hoping they’ll be third time lucky in the biggest race of them all, the Melbourne Cup.

Developed by Gemba’s data and analytics team, the predictor has once again used a range of factors, shapes and variables to help you determine exactly where value lies in this year’s Melbourne Cup market. This year, you can not only see all of Gemba’s estimated prices, but also an interactive dashboard that allows you to dig deeper into the results, available for both desktop and mobile devices using the links below.

In the 2024 Melbourne Cup, the model has largely found consensus among market leaders, with Buckaroo coming out on top with a slight lead over the current available price on Pointsbet. Vauban and Onesmoothoperator round out the top, again with little price advantage currently available. However, the big value they find at the top of the market is the Maher Okita Soushi galloper, which has an estimated price of $11, with $18 currently available. Although it’s also worth noting that they have also identified the Absurde as an “undeserving” model on the market, with the model’s current rating being $11, while the Gemba’s price is $16.

Happy hunting at this year’s Cup!

To access the Gemba Melbourne Cup predictor and interactive dashboard:

Mobile users please click here

Desktop users please click here