The best bets on the NBA today (predictions, bets on Domantas Sabonis, Julius Randle, Peli

After a tough five-pick performance on Monday, I’m hoping to bounce back on Tuesday night as the 2024-25 NBA season hits the one-week mark.

There will be some changes at the start of the season each year, but the aim is to start to sort this out in the coming weeks as players begin to find their level after a cold or hot start to the campaign.

We have a four-game slate on Tuesday with multiple teams (Dallas, Denver, Utah and Sacramento) playing for the second night of a back-to-back.

There’s also a key injury to note: Golden State Warriors superstar Stephen Curry won’t play Tuesday with an ankle injury. Does this give the New Orleans Pelicans value as slight favorites on the road?

Here’s a breakdown of my top plays on Tuesday:

Find Peter Dewey NBA betting stats here (futures included). You can also follow my daily games on Bet here.

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Julius Randle OVER 7.5 rebounds (-120) – 0.5 units

Minnesota Timberwolves forward Julius Randle is off to a fast start with his new team, averaging 24.3 points, 7.7 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game while shooting 62.8 percent from the field and 53.8 percent from the field. behind the arcs.

Minnesota will play a Western Conference finals rematch with the Dallas Mavericks tonight, while Dallas is playing its second straight game after Monday’s win over the Utah Jazz.

Randle could be in line for a big game on the glass after grabbing nine boards in two of his first three games. Even though he’s playing alongside Rudy Gobert, Randle still sees 14.0 rebounding chances per game, and we only need him to score eight to clear that prop.

This is a great matchup as Dallas is allowing 49.7 opponents’ rebounds per game, which ranks 25th in the NBA.

Jules has averaged at least 9.2 rebounds per game in each of the last five seasons. He has a great bet that he will win at least eight on Tuesday night.

Domantas Sabonis will score a triple-double (+450) – 0.5 units

Triple-double at +450? Why not!

Sacramento Kings big man Domantas Sabonis led the NBA in triple-doubles last season and already has one in the first three games of this season.

On Tuesday, he and the Kings will take on the Jazz, who through three games have been one of the worst defensive teams in the league (28th in defensive rating).

The key for Sabonis here is his passing. He’s on pace for 10 rebounds and 10 points, having only gone five games without a double-double last season.

Utah is allowing 30 assists per game this season—the most in the NBA—so Sabonis should be able to easily target his teammates. After scoring just one dime in the Kings’ season opener, Sabonis has 10 and seven assists in his last two games. He also averages 12.3 potential assists per game.

It’s worth sprinkling on Tuesday.

New Orleans Pelicans Moneyline (-155) vs. Golden State Warriors

As I mentioned, the Warriors will be without Curry on Tuesday, which will put them in a tough spot against a New Orleans team that also lost Dejounte Murray and Trey Murphy III.

The Pelicans got off to a weird start, beating the Chicago Bulls by double digits, then barely beating the Portland Trail Blazers, and then losing by 20-plus to Portland last weekend.

I think this is a rebuilding moment for the Pelicans, who don’t have a traditional center playing big minutes as they face a smaller Golden State team.

The Warriors are comfortable playing Trayce Jackson-Davis and Draymond Green as their primary starters, which shouldn’t cause any problems in the matchup for the Pels. In fact, it may prompt head coach Willie Green to move on from his best lineup.

Last season, Golden State went just 3-5 in games Curry missed, but is 25-27 overall in the last three seasons when the two-time MVP was out.

I’m not convinced Golden State has enough offense to beat the Pels – even at home – on Tuesday night.

Odds are updated periodically and are subject to change.

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